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War Over Taiwan Is Doubtful, and Unaffordable by China or Anyone

War Over Taiwan Is Doubtful, and Unaffordable by China or Anyone

By Bolaji Ojo

What’s at stake:
Concerns about war over Taiwan have grown since Xi Jinping became president, insisting that China would reunite the island with the mainland – by force, if necessary. The stability of the global supply chain is at stake, but in the end a peaceful resolution is more likely. Too much is at stake for the opponents, including the US and its Western allies. Can the supply chain breathe easier?

Taiwan’s presidential and national legislative elections will take place Jan. 13. At stake is the independence, economy and political future of the island – and for many in the electronics industry, the future of its role in the semiconductor market and in the technology value chain.

Read More »War Over Taiwan Is Doubtful, and Unaffordable by China or Anyone
Generative AI at CES: Good, Bad and Ugly

Generative AI at CES: Good, Bad and Ugly

By Junko Yoshida

What’s at stake:
The milling throng at CES this year is bombarded with generative AI marketing pitches. There are glowing promises galore, but the industry continues to cast about for credible applications spun from ChatGPT’s halo effect.

This year’s CES will be “all about generative AI and AI PCs,” said Justin Walker, Nvidia’s senior director of desktop GPUs during last week’s Nvidia’s pre-CES briefing.

He was, of course, spot on. Ahead of the show, most tech companies decided to AI-frame their CES announcements. Many touted their AI savvy by mentioning generative AI in press briefings and demonstrations, and in their booths.

Clearly, AI poses many shades and applications, from AI in PC and AI in cars to AI in robots. Vehicle AI alone encompasses myriad AI applications. It goes into digital cockpits, into ADAS (sensing and monitoring) and into self-driving vehicles (predictions and decision making)

Among all the AI presentations, Volkswagen’s demo won this year’s CES booby prize. 

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TSMC’s Next Fab: The Case for India

TSMC’s Next Fab: The Case for India

By Bolaji Ojo

What’s at stake?
No other company plays as critical a role in chip production as Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. Ltd. and none is as sought after today by governments and customers seeking economic advantages and supply stability. For many reasons, India should be at the top of TSMC’s list for new fab locations.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd. (TSMC) prides itself on basing its capital expenditure decisions on anticipated or verifiable customer needs. Geopolitics and supply security have taken a hammer to that policy.

This explains why TSMC is today adding fabs in Germany, Japan and US. It is also why India, which had for long expressed a desire for local chip plants, is now likely to get its wish. Whether TSMC will be the first player to step into India’s apparent void remains to be seen, however.

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Tech is Redefining How Africa Works

Tech is Redefining How Africa Works

By Fred Ohwahwa

What’s at stake?
Africa’s economy was playing catch-up on the technology front before Covid-19 hit, forcing a change in how enterprises engage with employees and further accelerating digitalization efforts by governments and institutions. Now, ordinary Africans are taking over and leveraging technology innovations to launch start-ups or secure international employments or contracts they can do anywhere.

Technology is changing everything in Africa.

Even the nature of how many people work throughout the continent is evolving. Technology innovators, enterprises and investors should be closely monitoring the new generation that never experienced the dynamics of the workplace that prevailed on the continent even as recently as 10 years ago.

To Westerners, some of the changes may have a whiff of catch-up. But that’s where the investment opportunities are springing up. In Africa, leapfrogging technology nodes has become the norm, so much so that young entrepreneurs on the continent are setting the pace for the rest of the world in finance, banking and communications.

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In 2024; AI here, there and everywhere

In 2024, AI Here, There and Everywhere

By Peter Clarke

What’s at stake?
With the arrival of Generative AI in the mainstream, in platforms such as ChatGPT in Microsoft’s Bing and Bard within Google, and with billions of dollars of AI processor chip sales, AI was seen to have enjoyed a breakout year in 2023. Well, it’s going to be even bigger in 2024.

What has been a showcasing of Generative AI – as a somewhat whimsical extension of the tools at the disposal of artists and creative professionals – is going to become much more focused and about following the money saved and the profits generated.

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TSMC Quagmire: No Holy Lands for Chip Production

TSMC Cannot Justify Taiwan-Centric Chip Production

By Bolaji Ojo

What’s at stake?
TSMC’s Taiwan-centric semiconductor manufacturing strategy helped it win the foundry race. However, that system is endangering the entire industry and calls into question its claim to be a global enterprise. Even now, TSMC remains wedded to its Taiwan-first manufacturing ideal. Unless it can build elsewhere an ecosystem as efficient as what it has in Taiwan, TSMC will remain a danger to the global semiconductor industry.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. Ltd. has become too big to fail. And that is a problem for the entire electronics value chain.

It is the preferred foundry – and too often the only viable – partner for the world’s biggest fabless chipmakers; Intel Corp., the troubled MPU vendor that was once the global No. 1 semiconductor vendor by revenue and capitalization, found solace in TSMC’s arms while Nvidia, now the world’s most valuable chip vendor, credits the foundry with its survival.

That’s all good, justifiable and even admirable. But even TSMC has its Achilles heel. Except, unlike Hercules, TSMC has more than one major weakness. We have all just been too enamored of its ascent to realize the foundry may now represent the Weakest Link in the electronics supply chain. 

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Can Anyone Catch up with Nvidia?

Can Anyone Catch up with Nvidia?

By Jon Peddie

Being in the right place at the right time is one way to success (assuming you’re smart enough to recognize the opportunity). Anticipating a market developing is another way, and creating a market is yet one more way to success. Nvidia has done all that and more with AI.

Before Large Language Models (LLMs), transformers, and generative AI exploded on the scene, Nvidia was already seeding what was called then “accelerated-compute,” or GPU-compute, and used its CUDA C++ like programming language as a catalyst and gateway to exploiting the power of parallel processing with a GPU. GPUs are complex devices and getting multiple threads of data to behave properly and in sync is a tricky process. CUDA took a lot of the drudgery out of that work and the payoff was so good that hundreds of developers in large organizations took advantage of it and built up a huge library of proprietary and open programs that ran on Nvidia GPUs.

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Three 'Transparency' Questions for GM/Cruise

Three ‘Transparency’ Questions for GM/Cruise

By Junko Yoshida

What’s at stake:
When a company previously not known for being candid with regulators, the public and media about its safety practices suddenly proclaims that “Safety Is Our North Star,” a competent reporter’s response is to heighten my vigilance and keep asking questions. In short: don’t trust, but verify.

A recent article in Forbes cites a December 1st internal email sent by Cruise’s new president and CTO Mo Elshenawy. It demonstrates a newfound mastery of lip service. Cruise now says, “Our priority from day one will be to launch with communities, not at them,” by relaunching “ridehail in one city.”

Ostensibly, it’s refreshing to see this180-degree shift from the company’s previous “it’s-all-about-scaling” strategy.

Equally encouraging is a statement by Farly Ury, a GM spokesperson, quoted by Forbes: “GM remains committed to supporting the independent safety reviews and Cruise as they refocus on trust, accountability and transparency.”

But here’s the rub.

Read More »Three ‘Transparency’ Questions for GM/Cruise